Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 2.348801 2.492957 2.645136 2.818395 3.010984 3.219419 3.463319
2026-01-11 2.124166 2.323923 2.545790 2.812874 3.128951 3.495386 3.958893
2026-01-18 2.011239 2.247113 2.518661 2.859164 3.281828 3.799436 4.498461
2026-01-25 2.070756 2.366721 2.721119 3.186533 3.797598 4.598054 5.774927
2026-02-01 1.917078 2.214277 2.576788 3.063576 3.720758 4.611984 5.983794
2026-02-08 1.779528 2.071568 2.432749 2.926027 3.606468 4.554859 6.070184
2026-02-15 1.702761 1.999779 2.372927 2.892552 3.627598 4.686129 6.456823
2026-02-22 1.623937 1.920507 2.297753 2.831343 3.601782 4.741875 6.725555
2026-03-01 1.542761 1.834067 2.208112 2.743511 3.528910 4.716259 6.848736
2026-03-08 1.459997 1.742062 2.106648 2.632938 3.413801 4.612770 6.817300
2026-03-15 1.423564 1.709416 2.083169 2.630740 3.459693 4.768528 7.281343
2026-03-22 1.380981 1.666691 2.043712 2.602713 3.463012 4.853274 7.623019
2026-03-29 1.318857 1.599692 1.973675 2.534849 3.413002 4.866454 7.877516
2026-04-05 1.280951 1.564496 1.946911 2.530465 3.465571 5.068015 8.588695
2026-04-12 1.259973 1.551080 1.949457 2.569382 3.591104 5.417595 9.742621
2026-04-19 1.308479 1.635768 2.096688 2.842686 4.145850 6.698789 13.913125
2026-04-26 1.248882 1.564988 2.012155 2.740417 4.024668 6.579623 14.034449
2026-05-03 1.189544 1.492699 1.922664 2.625470 3.871728 6.373850 13.816882
2026-05-10 1.156889 1.457603 1.887368 2.597407 3.877349 6.518415 14.856052
2026-05-17 1.120215 1.415455 1.839693 2.546003 3.834458 6.547183 15.508451
2026-05-24 1.079812 1.366718 1.780307 2.472035 3.742895 6.451351 15.653723
2026-05-31 1.036399 1.312533 1.711031 2.378564 3.607985 6.239211 15.267952
2026-06-07 1.018043 1.294410 1.696261 2.376703 3.651339 6.461137 16.813090